No deal breaks EU law Beware defence and security think-tanks funded by Brusse

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Offline the leveller

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No deal breaks EU law | Beware defence and security think-tanks funded by Brussels | The Chequers effect
Welcome to your bi-weekly edition of BrexitCentral, giving you all the news on Monday and Thursday throughout recess.

Last week Theresa May met French President Emmanuel Macron on a French island first occupied because it was easy to defend. But can the same be said of her Brexit plan?

On Thursday ConservativeHome released their first cabinet league table since Chequers and every single member is down. ConHome's Paul Goodman says in over ten years of surveys they haven't seen anything like it.

May's emergency meeting with Macron, which cut short her holiday, was described by the French press as a “desperate plea for help” and her approval rating amongst Tory members is now the lowest of all Cabinet members, coming in behind Philip Hammond at minus 48%.

On the same day May was trying to shore up her plans in a French castle, the governor of the Bank of England was busily eroding the value of the pound.  Mark Carney warned that Britain faced an “uncomfortably high” risk of a no deal Brexit, and said banks were preparing for a recession in which unemployment was at 9%. But, as Ambrose Evans-Pritchard points out in The Telegraph, Carney's assertion that the UK had fallen to the bottom of the G7 growth league is categorically untrue, with early evidence suggesting Brexit Britain is growing faster than France under Emmanuel Macron.

As the Chequers plan is battered from all sides, David Davis has warned the EU that it will be making a “massive miscalculation” if it thinks Britain is not ready to walk away without a deal and Liam Fox, the International Trade Secretary, said the chance of no deal Brexit was now “60-40” because of the “intransigence” of the European Commission.

But as Chris Howarth pointed out on Twitter, Chequers satisfies nobody but there is a deal that would bring together both sides: “The only outcome that 100% of voters and Parliament would prefer to 'No deal' is an advanced free trade agreement (such as Canada) as offered by the EU in March.”

On the site today, Lee Rotherham, the director of the Red Cell, previews his new report for the Bruges Group. He says defence and security Think Tanks, often funded by the European Union, are not doing their jobs by taking at face value the 'nonsense' assertions by the EU that their joint defence force is not a threat to NATO. He concludes that those who should be putting Britain's security and defence industry first are acting as proxies for a Brussels takeover. - Click here to read his thoughts.

Also on the site, Luke Watson from the campaign group Get Britain Out, says there's growing confidence that the UK’s Medicines regulator, one of the most highly respected in the world, can operate without any meddling from Brussels – or the European Medicines Agency which costs the NHS millions of pounds. -
Click here to read it.

And finally, in this morning's Telegraph there was a rare but welcome intervention from senior Whitehall sources who said the EU would be breaking its own rules if the UK left without a deal and warned the EU that “we will make it clear whose fault it was” if the UK leaves without an agreement.
David Scullion
Deputy Editor, BrexitCentral

Lee Rotherham: Beware the output of defence and security think tanks funded by the European Commission
The European Union is a consortium of states, steadily being administratively drawn together by purse strings. Jean Monnet is supposed to have said that if ‘he were to start anew, he would have started from culture’. Lacking a European demos, something of a fundamental if you are designing a cohesive democracy, an attempt is being made in tandem to create one.

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