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THE LEAVE DEAL AND THE GENERAL ELECTION

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THE LEAVE DEAL AND THE GENERAL ELECTION
« on: November 16, 2019, 01:33:26 PM »
THE LEAVE DEAL AND THE GENERAL ELECTION
Posted By: Rodney Atkinson
on: November 15, 2019
In: News

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I have been following British electoral politics since the end of the 1950s and never has there been such a threat to the entire basis of our civilisation as in this election.
Labour’s Bankrupting spending pledges and nationalisation programme will cripple us with massive debts and higher taxes
Islamophobia threat to democracy. Labour will imprison you for criticising Islamic teaching or for “fearing Islam”. Because, as Lord mandelson admitted, Labour “scoured the world” for immigrants who would vote for them they have become in effect the Islamic extremist Party with known vote riggers allied to Corbyn.
Labour’s Mass free immigration policy will continue this trend
The Corbyn clique is a serious Marxist threat to the family through the militant LGBT movement.
Labour and the Lib Dems represent a Massive threat to child physical and mental health through transgender politics and the forced medication of children to delay puberty
Labour and the Lib Dems will reverse the will of the people and remain in the EU
I have spent 30 years seeking 1. a vote by the British people to leave the corporatist fascist and German imperialist European Union and 2. a British political party led by and committed to the necessary legislation to leave the EU. At last we have both. We cannot afford more delay. The deal negotiated by Johnson after the treasonous May deal is flawed but do-able.  I explain why below.
So do we need (at this election) the Brexit Party? A Deltapoll showed that when asked how they would vote with the Brexit Party on the ballot paper, 41% would vote Conservative, 29% said Labour, 16% went for the Lib Dems, and 6% said the Brexit Party.
When asked how they would vote without the option of the Brexit Party, the Labour score rises by 1 percentage point to 30%, but the Tory figure rises 5 percentage points to 46%.
It is therefore inevitable that votes for the Brexit Party would deliver many seats to Labour and the Lib Dems and prevent a Tory majority. That majority is essential to prevent the lying, twisting, constitution-distorting behaviour of a Remainer Parliament defying the will of the people and destroying democracy itself.
Even in the North where the Brexit Party claims that it has a better chance of beating Labour than the Tories, there has been a traditional and strong (small “C” ) conservative patriotic vote within Labour ranks – of the kind that supports Brexit – but which has little or nothing in common with Nigel Farage. Indeed when I was lead candidate for UKIP in 1999 in the North East and we achieved over 8% of the vote we wrote our own election leaflets rather than follow the Farage line.
So unless there is real proven local polling which shows the Brexit Party has the best chance of victory in a constituency or the local Tory candidate is not an open Remainer then the obvious and critical vote is for the Conservative candidate and the probability of “Leave by Christmas”!
Time is critical. The costs of EU economic collapse falling on us as we delay Brexit and the boredom (or antipathy) of our US and Commonwealth friends waiting for a trade deal would be massive. The US Government’s trade promotion authority will expire in July 2020.
THE JOHNSON EU LEAVE DEAL
Because of the grotesque treachery and incompetence of Theresa May (who will go down in history as an ideological companion to Edward Heath) this official Leave deal will see the UK leave the EU but there will be no deal on trade. That has to be negotiated. As I pointed out a long time ago there were two “no deals” on the table. The one Theresa May and her Remainer Parliament rejected and Theresa May’s deal itself.
However the very worst of the May deal has gone and the template for the imminent trade deal negotiations is far more acceptable and will greatly enhance the UK’s bargaining position in the trade negotiations to come. The Government has committed to ending the trade negotiations by December 2020.
So here is a brief summary of the strengths of the Johnson Leave deal:
The end of the Irish backstop means the end of the UK in the EU customs union – so now able to make trade deals with US, NZ, Canada, Australia, the Trans Pacific Partnership etc. Those trade partners make clear the Northern Ireland situation does not affect their desire to do deals.
Under the May deal the EU would have been able to effectively use the backstop to keep us in the EU until we signed up to any crippling terms. Now the UK can just walk away if the terms are not fair and in our interests.
While May’s deal committed to a customs union in goods trade, Boris’s commitment is to a straight Free Trade Agreement with regulatory divergence – so trading partners can now get on with the job of negotiating.
The Transition period will not hinder the UK – trade negotiations take time to come into effect so 1st Jan 2021 is no problem.
EU Labour and environmental standards are relevant for both EU and US so there is no difference there – despite Labour scare mongering.
There is no question of breaking up the NHS for the sake of a US trade deal – President Trump has specifically rejected that. All drugs and many operations are already private sector provided to the NHS.
Not once in all my years as a US trade policy advisor or on the advisory committees to the United States Trade Representative did I ever hear that the NHS was a US negotiating objective. Shanker Singham
In the new Political Declaration there is no longer a requirement for rules alignment with the EU. Rules on competition and State aids are replaced by a commitment to not distort trade and the new aim is for “trade as frictionless as possible”. All these rebalance the trade negotiations to the benefit and freedom of the UK.
Finally on the potentially dangerous arrangements for the UK’s involvement in European Defence and procurement there is a specific change whereby it is the UK’s decision whether to partake in any European defence operations.
BUT OUR FUTURE IS IN THE HANDS OF THE PARLIAMENT ELECTED ON 12TH DECEMBER
There are still great problems with this agreement – on the amount payable to the EU (although much of that refers simply to our delayed departure) the continued powers of the European Court, the rights of EU citizens in the UK for years to come (although a strong UK Government can ensure these must be reciprocated for UK citizens in Europe) and potential damaging laws in the transition period.
But the most insightful legal analyst of this EU UK crisis over many years, Martin Howe QC, believes that the urgency of our departure is so great that it must be done and the above constitute “a cheque the British people must pay for the negligence of Theresa May.”
It is indeed payment for decades of betrayal by the British political class and we must be thankful that we at last have a nation, a people and a Government dedicated to putting our constitution, parliament, democracy, free trade and freedom above all else.
But only a Government with a substantial majority can see this through. Only a Parliament with fewer Labour and Liberal Democrat saboteurs can see our constitution and democracy restored.


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